Monday, November 17, 2008

The Real Cause of the Economic Crisis

The latest economic news is grim. Most of the world's major industrial countries, including the US, UK, Japan, Russia, and most of Europe are already in or close to recession. GM may fail. Banking giant Citigroup, whose stock is down 68% so far this year, announced today that it would be cutting more than 50,000 jobs

An excellent piece in the Daily Kos tells us about one of the root causes of the economic crisis, the credit default swap:

Subprime mortgages (and all mortgages, really) are a fraction of the current problem. The bailout would have been enough to buy out every subprime mortgage in foreclosure across the country. In fact, it was enough to do that several times over. So why not do that?

The reason is that the purpose of the bailout (at least as Treasury Secretary Paulson sees it) isn't to stop mortgage foreclosures, but to save the banks. And the banks have some self-inflicted problems that make those mortgages an afterthought.

For example, the wonderful credit default swap. In essence, credit default swaps are (or were) nothing but insurance policies for loans. And yet in 2007 the total number of credit default swaps traded far exceeded the value of all loans. In fact, it may have touched $70 trillion dollars, which puts it above the gross domestic product of the entire planet.

What role did they play in the financial crisis? Check out this great report by 60 Minutes.

The mastermind? Phil Gramm. If you want to learn more about how we got into this mess, I recommend this article and this one